2021 Capital Market Assumptions (CMAs): Leaning Toward Mid-2021 Recovery


As the pandemic and recovery unfold, we remain in our Base case senario, and are leaning towards a faster recovery mid-2021. Our investment solutions team develops long-term estimates for the returns, risk and correlations of more than 170 asset classes, including eight private asset classes. 
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Our 10-year assumptions explain that the period ahead will not necessarily look like the past decade. And for investors with shorter time horizons, 5-year returns are also produced, as well as tactical asset allocation views to highlight the CMAs that may over or undershoot in the near-term.

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